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What AI can do for a small business this year, shown live
Jacob Coxon, on resigning from Anthropic after roughly three years of pretraining research at OpenAI and then Anthropic. Posted on X, September 8, 2026
These are personal estimates from serious people. They range from 5 to 70 percent on different timeframes
Coxon and Hubinger as quoted by TechCrunch and Time, September 2026. Williams on X, September 10, 2026. AI Impacts survey, 2022. International AI Safety Report, 2026
Every estimate on the last slide rests on one idea. A model good enough to build a better model, which builds a better one, until people are no longer in the loop
None of this proves AI is safe. It shows the fear arrives before the benefit

People are drawn to bad news. Hans Rosling called it the negativity instinct. The doom scenario gets the airtime and the abundance scenario gets almost none.
Every film, every headline, every dinner party. We have been rehearsing this one since 1984.
Cheaper intelligence, compute, energy and healthcare. That is what material abundance is made of.
Over 105,000 Swedish women in a randomised trial. AI-supported screening detected 29 percent more cancers, led to 27 percent fewer aggressive cancers later, and cut radiologists' reading work by 44 percent.
MASAI trial, Lund University, The Lancet journals 2023 to 2026
Reading a year of your customer emails and telling you what they say now costs less than a coffee. Three years ago that was a week of someone's time.
When intelligence is nearly free, the question stops being what it costs and becomes what you would do with it.
Forty cents per million words read, OpenAI list price, 2025
William Stanley Jevons, 1865. Cheaper coal power did not reduce coal use. It multiplied it. The same economics now apply to your work
Six things I have done or watched a client do this year. None of them needed a developer
The habits behind every example you just saw
Not sure AI can do it? Ask it.
Not sure how to do it? Ask it.
Very good at some things and unreliable at others. Lean on it here and check it there.
First drafts of anything. Emails, quotes, job ads, plans.
Options when you are stuck.
Summaries of the long thing you did not have time to read.
Facts, numbers and names.
Anything a customer receives.
The final decision.
You set the task and you check the result. The AI does the middle.
A repeatable shape for a request. It makes you say up front what the AI needs, so it stops guessing.
The first draft is rarely the best one. Before you accept anything, say "What is weak here? What would a tough critic say? Now fix it."
Hand out AI work you have not checked and your team spends the afternoon sorting through the pieces.
You do not have to write the perfect request. Describe what you want in plain words, then say this.
It will ask you the questions you forgot to answer, then write the request for you.
The answers stop being generic when the tool can see your week
Once connected, the AI can read and act where you already work, with your permission. The answers stop being generic because it can see your week.
Before you ask a colleague, book a meeting or sit on a question, ask the AI first. This one habit separates the people who get value from the people who do not.

Give me a question you doubt AI can answer. We will ask it together.
WHAT TO WATCH FORThree things I built that I could not have built a month ago

With a salmon modelled in Blender from a prompt.
Cut from raw footage.
With highlight breakdowns of every game.
None of these started with a skill. Each started with a question.
Quick service restaurant group
Professional services firm
Payroll technology company, two leaders, one half-day session
Two rules and you are covered
Claude Team, ChatGPT Business and Microsoft 365 Copilot on a work account do not train on your conversations. Personal accounts, including free Copilot, train unless you turn it off.
Think twice before pasting personal, customer or financial details when the task does not need them.
Start where mistakes are cheap and easy to undo
Open the tool and say "Interview me, then set up my profile so you always know who I am and what I care about." Then ask it one real question from your week
Ten minutes. No committee, no platform decision, no strategy document.














Scan for the guide and its five templates
worksmartercompany.com/resources/ceos-ai-playbook
This presentation is in the resources section at worksmartercompany.com/resources
Colin Cox, The Work Smarter Company, colin@worksmartercompany.com